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Projects: Projects for Investigator
Reference Number WPD_NIA_064
Title Assessment of Climate Change Event Likelihood Embedded in Risk Assessment Targeting ED (ACCELERATED)
Status Completed
Energy Categories Other Power and Storage Technologies(Electricity transmission and distribution) 30%;
Other Cross-Cutting Technologies or Research(Environmental, social and economic impacts) 70%;
Research Types Applied Research and Development 100%
Science and Technology Fields PHYSICAL SCIENCES AND MATHEMATICS (Computer Science and Informatics) 10%;
ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY (Electrical and Electronic Engineering) 10%;
ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES (Earth Systems and Environmental Sciences) 80%;
UKERC Cross Cutting Characterisation Not Cross-cutting 100%
Principal Investigator Project Contact
No email address given
Western Power Distribution (WPD) - East Midlands
Award Type Network Innovation Allowance
Funding Source Ofgem
Start Date 01 January 2022
End Date 28 February 2023
Duration ENA months
Total Grant Value £244,511
Industrial Sectors Power
Region East Midlands
Programme
 
Investigators Principal Investigator Project Contact , Western Power Distribution (WPD) - East Midlands (99.997%)
  Other Investigator Project Contact , Western Power Distribution (WPD) - South Wales (0.001%)
Project Contact , Western Power Distribution (WPD) - South West (0.001%)
Project Contact , Western Power Distribution (WPD) - West Midlands (0.001%)
  Industrial Collaborator Project Contact , Western Power Distribution (0.000%)
Web Site https://smarter.energynetworks.org/projects/WPD_NIA_064
Objectives The project will be delivered through four interlinked work packages as follows: Work Package 1: Identification of historic severe weather impacts and at-risk asset groups.WP1 will establish the impact severe weather events have had on WPD network to date across all four licence areas; this will allow us to establish common fault causes associated with the observed trends. The faults will be analysed with the maximum weather intensities that occurred in the storm that caused them. Trend analysis will be performed to understand how severe weather impacts change over time and will map out at-risk locations and asset groups for each of the weather impacts. Work Package 2: Projecting future impacts of severe weather and climate change.UKCP18 projections and other relevant sources of information will be acquired to indicate how the impact of observed weather trends will change short-, medium- and long-term under various carbon emissions scenarios. The data will be correlated with the asset failure records discovered as part of WP1 with additional failure modelling performed as appropriate. Work Package 3: Projecting climate change impacts on embedded generation and consumption patterns.WP3 will be looking to develop a suitable methodology to factor in climate projections and specific weather variables into forecasting modelling to generate future demand and generation profiles for a range of timeframes. Work Package 4: Climate Change Impact Assessment ProcedureBased on the findings of the analysis completed in work packages 1-3, climate change impact assessment procedure will be prepared for consideration to be adopted as part of WPD business procedures. The document will identify business units that require adoption of the document and will be supported by visualisation tool and other technical assessments prepared as part of work package 1-3. We recognise that current and future climate change can directly affects WPD business objective of providing a safe, reliable and efficient electricity supply to our customers. To be prepared for the projected change in chronic and acute weather conditions in short-, medium- and long-term we as a business need to be equipped with novel reliable climate change data so that our distribution network is equipped with innovative toolset for effective operation and management. Climate change data provision will allow for informed investments decisions and identification of at-risk hotspots so that design, reinforcement and maintenance activities are performed with climate change future proofing in mind. Customers across all four licence areas will be ultimate beneficiaries through reduced interruption to the service and reduced maintenance/recovery cost. Furthermore, by providing climate change data at a glance we will ensure streamlined information sharing with all relevant stakeholders. To provide a visual representation of WPD historic weather impacts and climate change projections within different timeframes and spatial resolutions;To establish an up-to-date understanding of the potential impacts of projected climate change on the WPDs assets performance and functionality;To establish an understanding of climate change impacts on embedded generation and consumption patterns;To develop a climate change impact assessment procedure and to trial it across the business. 
Abstract This project is looking to develop a climate change impact assessment procedure which will be supplemented by a visualisation tool and technical information of the observed at-risk climate change hot-spots/assets and most up-to-date climate science (UKCP18 projections) so that adaptation measures are considered at the appropriate time and to an acceptable level. 
Publications (none)
Final Report (none)
Added to Database 02/11/22